Questo è lo scenario principale, quello che molti attendono. Il CSX è in testa di circa 1 punto, in crescita nel periodo. Si apprezza anche il M5S; a farne le spese CDX e PDN.Il CDX vincerebbe solo in 4 regioni, seppur importantissime, giocandosela anche in Piemonte.
Il CSX dovrebbe vincere le altre, correndo tuttavia qualche rischio nel Sud, dove vince le regioni più importanti con uno scarto ridotto.
I totali sorridono al CSX che, tuttavia, manca di poco la maggioranza assoluta al Senato: d’obbligo la conquista del Piemonte.
DATI NAZIONALI
– partito o coalizione: percentuale [camera – senato]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 40,9% (-1,0%) [220 – 133]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 11,4% (-1,0%) [61 – 25]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 42,1% (+0,5%) [345 – 154]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 3,8% (+1,2%) [0 – 0]
– ALTRI: 1,8% (+0,3%) [4 – 3]
DATI REGIONALI
– partito o coalizione: percentuale [senatori]
Piemonte
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 43,0% [13]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 7,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 43,0% [9]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 43,0% [13]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 7,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 43,0% [9]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]
Lombardia
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 51,0% [27]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 7,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 36,5% [20]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,0 [0]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]
Veneto
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 53,0% [14]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 10,5% [3]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 30,0% [7]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 2,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 53,0% [14]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 10,5% [3]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 30,0% [7]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 2,5% [0]
Friuli Venezia Giulia
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 46,0% [4]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 9,5% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 38,5% [2]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 46,0% [4]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 9,5% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 38,5% [2]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]
Trentino Alto Adige
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 25,0% [1]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 12,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 29,5% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 3,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 29,5% [2]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 25,0% [1]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 12,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 29,5% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 3,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 29,5% [2]
Liguria
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 40,5% [3]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 6,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 47,0% [5]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 40,5% [3]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 6,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 47,0% [5]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Emilia Romagna
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 33,5% [8]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 6,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 52,5% [13]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 7,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 33,5% [8]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 6,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 52,5% [13]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 7,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
Toscana
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 28,5% [6]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 7,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 58,0% [12]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 28,5% [6]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 7,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 58,0% [12]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
Marche
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 36,0% [2]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 11,0% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 47,5% [5]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 36,0% [2]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 11,0% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 47,5% [5]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
Umbria
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 33,0% [2]
– CENTRO (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 9,5% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 52,5% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 33,0% [2]
– CENTRO (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 9,5% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 52,5% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
Lazio
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 38,5% [9]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 11,5% [3]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 45,0% [15]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 38,5% [9]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 11,5% [3]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 45,0% [15]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Abruzzo
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 39,0% [2]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 13,5% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 44,0% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 39,0% [2]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 13,5% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 44,0% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Molise
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 38,0% [1]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 18,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 41,0% [1]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 38,0% [1]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 18,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 41,0% [1]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Campania
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 38,5% [9]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 15,5% [4]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 43,0% [17]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 38,5% [9]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 15,5% [4]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 43,0% [17]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Puglia
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 39,0% [7]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 14,5% [2]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 44,0% [12]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 1,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 39,0% [7]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 14,5% [2]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 44,0% [12]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 1,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Basilicata
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 29,0% [2]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 17,0% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 52,0% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 1,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 17,0% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 52,0% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 1,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Calabria
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 38,5% [3]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 17,5% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 42,5% [6]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 1,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 17,5% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 42,5% [6]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 1,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
Sicilia
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 39,0% [15]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 26,0% [5]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 32,0% [6]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 39,0% [15]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 26,0% [5]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 32,0% [6]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Sardegna
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 35,0% [3]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 12,5% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 45,5% [5]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 4,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 35,0% [3]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): 12,5% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): 45,5% [5]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 4,5% [0]
Estero ed UV
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): [2]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): [3]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: [0]
– ALTRI: [1]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): [2]
– PDN (UDC, FEL, MPA, API): [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS): [3]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: [0]
– ALTRI: [1]
